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Northamptonshire Analysis
The authority on Northamptonshire statistics


  • 22 February 2018
    Migration (NINos) Update
    In the year to end December 2017, 12062 overseas nationals living in Northamptonshire were allocated National Insurance Numbers. Following a slump in numbers over the last quarter, this is the lowest quarterly (rolling 12 month) figure since March 2015 and a decrease over the last year of 11.2% since the peak number of allocations logged for the year to end December 2016. However in comparison, over the last year the national decrease has been 18.1% as part of a steady slide in numbers from a national peak much earlier for the year to end of June 2015.

    The Northamptonshire decrease since the December 2016 peak is driven by a decrease in the numbers of allocations to applicants from the EU8 Accession States of 30.9% (similar to the national average decrease), alongside a 20.5% decrease in applicants from the EU15 states (also similar to the national average). The difference in Northamptonshire has been the continuing arrival of persons from the EU2 states of Bulgaria and Romania up to a peak in September 2017 compared to a national peak in these EU2 nationals logged slightly earlier at the end of December 2016. Over the last year (Dec 17 compared to Dec 16) the county's decrease in EU2 NINo allocations has only been 3.1% compared to a national decrease of 17.6%. The next set of figures due in May 2018 will be of particular interest to confirm whether the recent decrease in EU2 allocations in Northamptonshire is the beginning of a trend .... or not!

    At a District level, Corby and Northampton follow the 'peak last quarter' pattern, while the total number of NINo allocations in Wellingborough have been decreasing since December 2016.

    Four MSOAs in the county continue to record NINo allocations of more than 500 in the preceding 12 months. Three of these are in central Northampton : N023 Semilong & Town Centre West; N023 The Mounts and N025 Town Centre South towards Hospitial/Well.Road. The fourth MSOA is in Corby : C006 Kingswood.

    This data can be found in the National Insurance Number Allocations to Adult Overseas Nationals dataview.
  • 20 February 2018
    Labour Productivity Update
    The latest local statistics covering labour productivity for Northamptonshire and our basked of Economic Comparators can now be found in spreadsheet format on Northamptonshire Analysis by clicking here.

    Labour productivity is a key driver of long term economic growth and higher living standards.

    The ONS indicators look at Gross Value Added (GVA) Per Hour Worked and GVA Per Job Filled both in terms of monetary value and as a comparative index based on UK productivity.   According to the ONS, Gross Value Added is a productivity metric which measures the value of output less the value of intermediate consumption (input in the production process). They recommend concentrating on GVA Per Hour Worked as it is not affected by local working patterns as is the case for GVA Per Job Filled (so I am sticking with that recommendation!).

    In this dataset the Northamptonshire data is split between the two NUTS3 EU economic geographies of West Northamptonshire (covering the boroughs/districts of Daventry, Northampton and South Northamptonshire) and North Northamptonshire (covering the boroughs/districts of Corby, East Northamptonshire, Kettering and Wellingborough).

    In 2016 West Northamptonshire showed a GVA per hour worked (smoothed) value of £27.7 while the area of North Northamptonshire logged £26.5. This ranked the two areas of the county in 13th and 15th places (of 16) amongst our basked of economic comparators. Across England as a whole these levels of productivity ranked the two parts of Northamptonshire in 99th place (8th decile) and 120th place (10th, worst decile) amongst the 132 NUTS.3 geographies. Not the best of news.

    Looking at the long term growth over 12 years from 2004 to 2016, it is clear that West Northamptonshire started at a low point but over this period has registered growth in productivity of a similar rate to surrounding areas. On the other hand North Northamptonshire started the timeseries in 2004 with better productivity than West Northamptonshire but, like Luton and Bedford, stalled heavily during the 'credit crunch', then fell behind West Northamptonshire in 2011 and has not really recovered any significant growth in productivity since. It is for this reason that North Northamptonshire performs in the bottom 10 NUTS.3 geographies when considering growth over the last six years but in the 8th decile for growth over the full twelve years.

    A recent ONS Research Article explains that some industries naturally produce higher levels of productivity than others, but across the UK since the 'credit crunch' there has been a shift in employment to the less productive sectors. Additionally, some industries have decreased in productivity more than others, manufacturing being a case in point. It may be this double wammy in Northamptonshire's low wage, low skills economy which is impacting upon the productivity slowdown in the NUTS.3 North Northamptonshire area.

  • 16 February 2018
    Benefit Cap Update
    The latest data concerning households affected by the Benefit Cap (November 2017) has now been uploaded to the dataview on Northamptonshire Analysis.

    At the end of November 2017 there were 571 households in the county which were affected by the Benefit Cap. This is a decrease on the previous quarter, reflecting the national trend. but also historical dips in the figures for November.

    Just under half of the households are located in Northampton.

    These capped households across Northamptonshire contain at least 1945 children.

    The proportion of these capped households which are single parent households continues to grow and now stands at 79.3%, somewhat higher than the national average of 72.8%. The proportion of single parent households is above 80% in East Northamptonshire and Kettering.

  • 13 February 2018
    Business Floorspace is back!!
    The business floorspace dataset, provided by the Valuation Office Agency, was last seen in 2012, but has now returned as 2016 experimental statistics on   It is joined by information about rateable values with the indicators broken down into five categories of business unit : industrial, retail, offices, other and excluded units (which means no floorspace valuation is available so the calculated indicators are also not available).

    This information can be found on Northamptonshire Analysis in the following dataview within the Economy - Business & Enterprise sub-theme :
    Business Floorspace & Rateable Value

    At the end of March 2016, Northamptonshire had 20,950 business units within the rating list. This was an increase of 14.1% in number of non-domestic rateable units over the previous 15 years. This is a higher percentage growth in the number of rateable units than the national average (12.7%) and places Northamptonshire in the middle of the list of economic comparators, where unit growth since 2001 has varied between 29.9% in Milton Keynes and 3.4% in Leicester.

    Please note : In 2016, excluded units accounted for 15.1% of units across Northamptonshire and 19.2% nationally, so may affect other proportions.   Please also note : This data is not published at LEP level, so the dataset is provided for the split version of the Economic Comparators where Swindon & Wiltshire LEP and The Marches LEP are split down into their constituent unitary parts parts.

    In 2016 industrial units made up 32.9% of the rateable units in Northamptonshire and 47.7% of the total rateable value collected, compared to 24.3% and 19.9% respectively across England as a whole.   Amongst the economic comparators only Leicester and Leicestershire have a higher proportion of industrial units and none of the economic comparators surpass Northamptonshire's proportion of the total rateable value produced by their industrial units. Northamptonshire still stands out when the square meterage of industrial space is compared to the size of the population. Here, the county holds 19.25 thousand m2 of Industrial floorspace per 1000 population aged 16-64 which is well above the national average of 8.71 thousand m2/1000pop and places Northamptonshire in first position amongst the basket of economic comparators for this indicator.   Overall it is clear that industrial units are important to the county's non-domestic rateable income.

    The rateable value per m2 of industrial floorspace across Northamptonshire is £37 per m2, the same as the England average but in this case only bringing 11th place in the list of economic comparators. Buckinghamshire and Luton have the highest industrial floorspace costs per m2 (both £47). At borough and district level within the county, the industrial RV/m2 varies from £30/m2 in Corby to £41/m2 in Daventry and South Northamptonshire. In Northamptonshire and nationally, 'industrial' is the category of unit with the lowest RV/m2.   Until 2011 the county's RV/m2 for industrial units was above the national average, since then the calculation has been tracking closely to the national average. Unfortunately, occupancy rates are not available to add to this picture of the county sustaining a volume of low cost industrial space.

    At the other end of the spectrum, Northamptonshire has a low proportion of retail units compared to nationally (21.6% v. 26.2% ) and a lower than average rateable value per square metre for these units with £119/m2 compared to £153/m2 nationally and £188/m2 in Milton Keynes. The Northamptonshire value masks differences between the boroughs and districts from £97 in Daventry (decreasing) to £137 in Northampton (finally back up to the 2008 amount).
  • 30 January 2018
    Infant Mortality Statistics
    The Infant Mortality dataview on Northamptonshire Analysis has now been updated with the 2016 statistics at District level and above.

    Northamptonshire records above England average mortality rates for infants (under one year) and in the neonatal (under 4 weeks) and perinatal (under one week and still births) categories. However, all three mortality rates have decreased compared to the previous year. Of particular note are the 2015 and 2016 perinatal mortality rates in East Northamptonshire and Wellingborough.

    Please note, these rates cover small actual numbers and, therefore, are subject to annual variations. Please look at the timeseries graphs for a clearer longterm picture.
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