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Northamptonshire Analysis
The authority on Northamptonshire statistics

News

  • 17 October 2017
    Pupil Characteristics Update
    The pupil characteristics dataviews (primary, secondary and all pupils) have been updated with the national and regional comparators 2016-17 which were released in the summer. These dataviews can be found within the Education and Skills theme under the EDUC: Pupil/Student Characteristics sub-theme. Regional and national statistics are not available for the Reception/123 dataview.

    This comparator data covers four of the six key characteristics namely .... % Special Educational Needs, % Free School Meals, % 1st Language Not English and % Non-White British. Please remember that the figures for Northamptonshire and smaller geographies take into account pupils who both go to school and live within the county. Regional and National statistics relate to school location only.

    With that proviso in mind, in 2016-17 Northamptonshire has lower than the national proportion of pupils in seven of the eight available combinations of key characteristic v. level of school. Northamptonshire has a slightly higher proportion of SEN pupils at secondary level than the national average but there isn't much in it. However, the picture is much more diverse at district and borough level.

    Amongst Secondary School pupils there are slightly above national average proportions of SEN students in Daventry, East Northamptonshire, Northampton and Wellingborough. Northampton is five %-points above the national average in the other two key indicators available (% 1st Language Not English and % Non White British).

    Amongst Primary School pupils, Wellingborough is slightly above the national average for SEN pupils and those eligible for free school meals. In Northampton there are greater differences against the national norm in the proportion of pupils with a 1st Language which is Not English (27.5% v. 20.7% nationally, a difference of 6.8%-points) and for the proportion of students who are Non White British (42.4% v 32.1% nationally, a 10.3%-point difference). These high levels at primary level will obviously percolate through the rest of the school system.
  • 06 October 2017
    Count of Businesses by Size
    Another Economic release this month is the snapshot count of UK Businesses as at March 2017. The 2017 data can now be found in the Business Size dataview on Northamptonshire Analysis. Please remember that this snapshot dataset gives a different total number of businesses to the Business Demography Active Businesses total which instead takes into account any businesses which have been active over the period of a year. Please also remember that the snapshot of UK businesses, like the BRES Employee data, covers only businesses which are registered for VAT and/or PAYE.

    As of 2017, there were 32,295 businesses registered for VAT and/or PAYE across Northamptonshire. This is the sixth year in succession showing an increase in this count, with an overall growth in the number of businesses of 31.6% between 2011 and 2017. This growth compares quite well to our basket of economic comparators.

    The proportion of the county's total businesses which are in the smallest size band (0-4 Employees) has grown from 76.9% in 2011 to 79.8% in 2017 and this may account for why Northamptonshire did not compare so well against our comparators in terms of Employee number growth (although that is another, more detailed piece of work for another time!!).

    28.3% of Northamptonshire's businesses can be found in Northampton (compared to 31.9% of the resident population aged 18-64). South Northamptonshire, Daventry and East Northamptonshire each contain a higher proportion of the county's businesses than their proportion of the county's working age population. The other four boroughs have a lower proportion of the county's businesses than their proportion of the county's working age population. This obviously does not take into account size of business.

    If you wish to undertake a more detailed analysis, then the Business Size dataview holds details of size of business, while if you head for the Nomis website there is also data about legal status of businesses (including sole proprietors) and also detail of the industry type ... although remember that if you go looking for businesses within the smallest breakdown (where businesses 'growing sugar cane' or working in 'space transport' are both options!!), the effect on the stats of the rounding of the data to avoid disclosure will be greater ... ... or as Nomis puts it "values may be rounded down to zero and so all zeros are not necessarily true zeros".
  • 04 October 2017
    Employee/Employment Numbers (BRES)
    The latest Employee and Employment numbers (2016) for the county are now available in Northamptonshire Analysis. This data comes from the annual Business Register & Employment Survey (BRES) run by the Office for National Statistics. The survey is regarded as the definitive source of official government employee estimates at sub-regional level, however regional and national figures are provided here from the BRES for comparison purposes.

    This news-item considers EmployEE numbers. In September 2016, there were an estimated 339,410 employees working within Northamptonshire. 87.4% were in the Private Sector and 12.6% were in the public sector compared to an 83.3% : 16.7% split across the East Midlands as a whole (the national figure was 17% public sector but it seemed to me that this would include any London-centric national government workers, so East Midlands might be the better comparator in this instance).

    69.2% of Northamptonshire employees in 2016 were full time (here the definition is more than 30 hours per week) compared to 68.1% across England as a whole. Amongst the boroughs and districts the full time percentage varied from 65.6% in Kettering to 72.5% in Daventry.

    According to the ONS, the BRES data “are point-in-time snapshots of the GB/UK economy and are NOT designed to be used as time series figures, although it is recognised that users do use them in this manner”. With this in mind, it is interesting to note that :
    .... Between 2011 and 2016, the total number of employees across Northamptonshire increased by 6.0%, a lesser amount than the 10.6% growth across England as a whole. The Northamptonshire employee growth was primarily due to a 4.3% annual growth between the 2015 BRES and the 2016 BRES, after a period of apparent stagnation and low growth compared to most of our economic comparators during the first half of the decade. Amongst our basket of Economic Comparators there was, on average, a 13.1% growth in employees between 2011 and 2016, however all 14 comparator geographies showed higher individual growth over that period than Northamptonshire. Particularly high growth in employees was experienced within the boundaries of Milton Keynes (up 28.3% between 2011 and 2016, with three years in the period of above 5% annual growth) and Central Bedfordshire (up 24.7%, with a huge surge between the 2015 BRES and the 2016 BRES) so it may be that these areas have provided some additional jobs for residents of Northamptonshire albeit with a commute to consider.
    .... Over the years since 2011 both East Northamptonshire and Northampton showed decreases in the total number of employees working within the district/borough, as neither of these areas gained enough private sector employees to compensate for the losses in public sector employees between 2011 and 2016.




  • 04 October 2017
    JSNA Chapter - Adults with Disabilities
    The latest chapter of the JSNA has been published, this one looks at Adults with Disabilities.

    The JSNA can be found on Northamptonshire Analysis by clicking this link https://www.northamptonshireanalysis.co.uk/jsna/awdjsna. The new chapter looks at the numbers of adults living with a disability in Northamptonshire, predicts future numbers and explores the services available to them. More chapters are in development and will be published in the upcoming months.
  • 25 August 2017
    ONS Local Area Migration Indicators Update
    The other set of migration data released yesterday was the 2016 Local Area Migration Indicators from the Office for National Statistics. These indicators can now be found on Northamptonshire Analysis in the ONS Migration Suite dataview.

    Unlike the national news headlines, net long-term international migration (LTIM) in Northamptonshire remains on an upward trend. Net LTIM for the county as a whole stands at 6.6 persons per 1000 population for the year to end June 2016 up from 5.8 in the year to end June 2015. Amongst the boroughs and districts, the 2016 figures range from 12.3 net migrants / 1000pop in Northampton to 1.8 net migrants / 1000pop in Daventry. Northampton also shows the highest growth in net migration per 1000 population (impact), compared with both 2015 and also 2010.

    Net internal migration (from other parts of the UK) into the county reveals an additional 3.0 residents per 1000 population for the year to end June 2016. Also in 2016, Daventry and East Northamptonshire have a net gain of 11.5 and 10.5 internal migrants (from other parts of the UK) respectively. On the other hand, more people are moving out of Northampton to other parts of the UK than are moving in.

    International migrants registering for GP services in Northamptonshire have increased from 9348 in the year to end June 2015 to 9938 in the year to end June 2016, some 590 additional persons requiring services. Please note, however, this does not mean that all these people remain in the county, although a person can only register for GP services if they are staying in the UK for at least three months.

    For definitions of the indicators within the ONS Local Area Migration Suite, please see either :
    The Short NCC Collated Definitions Summary on Northamptonshire Analysis, or
    The ONS Local Area Migration Suite Quality and Methodology Information.
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